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This is Scientific American 60-Second Earth. I'm David Biello. Your minute begins now.

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It's obvious.

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Global efforts to combat climate change have failed.

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International summits are full of hot air and greenhouse gas pollution continues to rise.

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If a country bails on a climate commitment, they pay a price of, zero.

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Turns out that's okay, at least according to game theory analyses by researchers at the University of Lisbon.

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Their models suggest that punishment by global institutions has no effect.

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They also say that global summits actually impede cooperation.

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Now, in a new report, the researchers suggest that if punishment starts getting handed out at the local level, say city governments,

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what emerges is a much more cooperative global regime for combating climate change.

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The only other way for such collaboration to develop was for there to be a perception that the risks associated with climate change were devastating.

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The report is in the journal Nature Climate Change.

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That's not the case at present, despite the reality of the environmental, economic and health threats posed by global warming.

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In fact, such threats are reminiscent of the risks associated with another crisis,the financial one,

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as noted by the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development.

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Nevertheless, the math of how people play games suggests that successfully curbing carbon pollution will rely on the old adage: think globally… act locally.

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Your minute is up, for Scientific American 60-Second Earth. I'm David Biello.

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